better than romney in early voting, polls suggested way more had voted for obama than romney. but there's another number that, or there's another factor to consider which is for the first time all 88 counties, so every registered voter, was offered the chance to vote early through the mail. that was not the case in '08. so you're seeing a large number of votes cast in republican counties early that weren't cast in '08. so you take a look at that, and you say, okay, romney has clearly cut into obama's advantage in early voting, and republicans typically vote more on election day, and so obama's in trouble. and that may be true, but then you have to go back again and think, well, who has more of a reliable voting bloc in and numbers show us that traditionally republicans have a more, quote, reliable voting bloc. jenna: so whether conventional wisdom is true or not is going to be something we'll watch for tonight, whether or not the traditional information that we get out of ohio is something that we can rely on this time around, or if some of the factors that you're mentioning,